Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.049259 0.057554 0.066796 0.077852 0.090719 0.105223 0.122814
2025-10-05 0.036888 0.047849 0.061357 0.079223 0.102231 0.130874 0.169265
2025-10-12 0.029365 0.041263 0.057106 0.079727 0.111200 0.153457 0.214568
2025-10-19 0.024286 0.036449 0.053707 0.079950 0.118847 0.174410 0.259919
2025-10-26 0.020888 0.033184 0.051614 0.081204 0.127524 0.197309 0.310611
2025-11-02 0.018568 0.031035 0.050655 0.083716 0.138045 0.223865 0.369986
2025-11-09 0.015676 0.027450 0.046828 0.080963 0.139609 0.236350 0.408384
2025-11-16 0.013784 0.025198 0.044777 0.080703 0.145008 0.255401 0.459724
2025-11-23 0.012139 0.023102 0.042648 0.079916 0.149227 0.272728 0.510017
2025-11-30 0.011086 0.021912 0.041926 0.081480 0.157731 0.298417 0.578342
2025-12-07 0.009877 0.020239 0.040070 0.080624 0.161523 0.315822 0.633218
2025-12-14 0.008684 0.018420 0.037680 0.078378 0.162261 0.327405 0.678083
2025-12-21 0.007598 0.016681 0.035255 0.075805 0.162153 0.337607 0.722166
2025-12-28 0.007063 0.016031 0.034959 0.077601 0.171290 0.367522 0.810883
2026-01-04 0.006483 0.015194 0.034154 0.078185 0.177900 0.392960 0.893332
2026-01-11 0.005942 0.014365 0.033252 0.078421 0.183742 0.417406 0.976676
2026-01-18 0.005533 0.013784 0.032821 0.079655 0.191976 0.448040 1.077853
2026-01-25 0.005246 0.013452 0.032915 0.082119 0.203374 0.487143 1.203655
2026-02-01 0.004669 0.012321 0.030974 0.079419 0.202050 0.496571 1.259766
2026-02-08 0.004296 0.011655 0.030071 0.079164 0.206686 0.520689 1.354936
2026-02-15 0.003935 0.010966 0.029022 0.078392 0.209908 0.541715 1.444975
2026-02-22 0.003721 0.010644 0.028866 0.079926 0.219287 0.579213 1.582232
2026-03-01 0.003418 0.010032 0.027873 0.079087 0.222257 0.600655 1.679785